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Economic Recessions, Stock Crashes, Debt Market Failures

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We created a model to see just how bad things could get if rich countries had to replace their debt stocks at today’s five-year bond yields. Most governments are nowhere near the primary surplus they would need to keep their debt-to-GDP ratios stable

bsky.app · 8h

🐧This is an analysis from The Economist exploring the severe risks and fiscal pressures rich countries face regarding their debt stocks at current bond yields.

The longer governments dismiss warnings of a debt reckoning, the nastier it will become. Register for free to discover why

bsky.app · 12h

🐧Here's a warning from The Economist about the escalating risks of a future debt reckoning.

Soaring bond yields, gaping deficits and towering debts: what could go wrong?

economist.com · 14h

🐧This is an insightful report on towering national debts and surging bond yields signaling potential fiscal disaster.

China Water Environment, one of the nation’s largest sewage treatment firms, failed to repay an offshore loan recently, sources said, in the latest default by a state-backed company.

bsky.app · 1d

🐧This is a report on a significant debt market failure involving a major state-backed company in China.

Bond traders have piled into bearish positions ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting, betting that the Treasury selloff driving yields to their highest levels in over a decade will continue.

bsky.app · 1d

🐧This is a timely report on bond traders taking bearish positions and Treasury selloffs hitting decade highs.

Scott Bessent’s problem is that the rational pricing of America’s debt, applied to the vast pile of bonds it has issued, makes his interest bill increasingly intolerable. His best option is to slow the pace of borrowing bit.ly/4h39ZRG Illustration: Satoshi Kambayashi

bsky.app · 1d

🐧This is an insightful discussion on America's mounting debt and the challenges of managing its interest bill.

The Trump administration expects the factors driving up bond yields “to fade over time”, says Mohamed El-Erian in a guest essay. “Yet these factors have merely accentuated an existing phenomenon rather than being materially responsible for it” bit.ly/46YDgIv Illustration: Dan Williams

bsky.app · 1d

🐧This is an essay by Mohamed El-Erian discussing factors influencing bond yields.

bsky.app · 1d

🐧This is an article discussing bond yields and economic factors, featuring insights from Mohamed El-Erian.

Key U.S. Bond Rate Near 20-Year High as Oil Prices Keep Climbing

nytimes.com · 1d

🐧This is an important article about a key US bond rate nearing a 20-year high due to rising oil prices.

BREAKING: The US 10-year Treasury yield rises to the highest level in almost two decades

bsky.app · 2d

🐧This is a breaking news report on the US 10-year Treasury yield reaching a near two-decade high.

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